Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000962 0.001103 0.001246 0.001402 0.001564 0.001730 0.001909
2025-08-17 0.000726 0.000925 0.001134 0.001368 0.001621 0.001883 0.002174
2025-08-24 0.000508 0.000738 0.000991 0.001285 0.001609 0.001953 0.002341
2025-08-31 0.000375 0.000629 0.000921 0.001269 0.001663 0.002087 0.002573
2025-09-07 0.000286 0.000557 0.000883 0.001284 0.001746 0.002250 0.002832
2025-09-14 0.000190 0.000461 0.000809 0.001249 0.001766 0.002339 0.003008
2025-09-21 0.000138 0.000414 0.000788 0.001272 0.001851 0.002498 0.003258
2025-09-28 0.000109 0.000395 0.000798 0.001331 0.001975 0.002699 0.003553
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000344 0.000763 0.001332 0.002027 0.002816 0.003753
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.000312 0.000749 0.001355 0.002104 0.002961 0.003982
2025-10-19 0.000015 0.000262 0.000704 0.001336 0.002129 0.003042 0.004138
2025-10-26 0.000002 0.000223 0.000671 0.001329 0.002166 0.003137 0.004307
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000143 0.000575 0.001252 0.002136 0.003178 0.004444
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000093 0.000515 0.001220 0.002163 0.003286 0.004661
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000041 0.000427 0.001141 0.002126 0.003317 0.004789
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000017 0.000386 0.001126 0.002169 0.003444 0.005028
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000006 0.000366 0.001140 0.002251 0.003615 0.005319
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001107 0.002265 0.003705 0.005513
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.001129 0.002354 0.003885 0.005812
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000315 0.001186 0.002489 0.004119 0.006175
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001186 0.002545 0.004257 0.006423
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001208 0.002631 0.004430 0.006711
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000252 0.001190 0.002659 0.004531 0.006913